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How exponential technologies will change the world


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4:40:

1996
Kodak
MarketCap: $28B
Employees: 140 000

2012
Kodak
Bankrupt
Employees: 17 000

2012
Instagram
MarketCap: $1B
Employees: 13

Great perspective for reducing unemployment...

This is going to end up really bad, eventually.

Edited by ajz3d
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19:48

This is a really cool moment. The presenter shows us a 0.1 Mpx first digital camera by Kodak (1976) and compares it to 2014's 10 Mpx camera.

It's analogous to what I did during the Easter. I showed my godson a Verbatim 5,25" HD floppy disk, that held 1,22 MB of data. Such disks were very popular in the 80's. Now, in 2015 we have MicroSD cards that are, like, 1cm in height and 1 mm or so in thickness, and yet they can contain even 128 GB (!) of data. How about that? :)

Edited by ajz3d
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19:48

This is a really cool moment. The presenter shows us a 0.1 Mpx first digital camera by Kodak (1976) and compares it to 2014's 10 Mpx camera.

It's analogous to what I did during the Easter. I showed my godson a Verbatim 5,25" HD floppy disk, that held 1,22 MB of data. Such disks were very popular in the 80's. Now, in 2015 we have MicroSD cards that are, like, 1cm in height and 1 mm or so in thickness, and yet they can contain even 128 GB (!) of data. How about that? :)

 

 

 

Early 70's, hand woven ring magnet RAM. $10 million US (in early 70's money) for 10kilobytes..

 

627px-Magnetic_core_memory_card.jpg

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I will play the devil's advocate here.

This is a repeat of the thought that technology will cure the ills of society and all people will be a partaker in this ideal society. 

1900 saw great advances in science and technology but devoid of the humanities. The 20th century was one of the most destructive in the history of mankind.

 

Science without the humanities being taught as the highest form will in fact inflict further destruction. His address comes from a capitalist world view. Science married to consumerism...

 

I do not see the grandiose society the man is discussing. I see a society even more separated into specialized classes than it is now...

Top class,     Instructed in science and technology , The rulers.

2nd class--- Trained techicans

3rd class--- Political managers (regional governors, city managers etc.)

4th class--- Trained laborers

 

I am not a luddite (machine wrecker) but humanities has been divorced from science and science married to consumerism is a humanities wrecker...

Edited by digman
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Actually I don't think that the top class are all that instructed in technology at all. They're a bunch of entitled trust funders that never had to work or study hard for anything. 

 

The real technology people are in the middle classes and really, now with the internet, anybody can become highly instructed in technology or science. It's a matter of will power and inclination.

 

The top classes are the luddites who hate progress, hate the awakening of the lower orders, hate the internet.

 

 

In fact there are those who suspect that the internet was deliberately created by a bunch of baby boomer freaks working for DARPA to act as a revolutionary force against the elite and that the elite were too stupid and too decadent to see it sneaking up on them. Now it's here and they hate it, but it may be too late, even though they'd love to use  the TPP to shut it all down.

 

But is it even possible to shut it down? I mean, those DARPA freaks designed it to survive a full out nuclear war. Any attempt to block the internet is seen as damage, and the internet is designed to route itself around damage.

Edited by L'Ancien Regime
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Top class - energy owners - the rulers

In Hawai'i, the energy owners are in a fight with distributed energy owners (roof top solar). When batteries are good enough (like mature fuel cells), such distributed owners can go off the grid. The utilities are in a panic throughout the southwest US.  Meanwhile, distributed capitalism in pension plans is the only defense. If $1000 was invested by the state for each newborn, they would have about $1,000,000 by age 65. Current yield about $70,000.

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